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Minnesota Twins v Philadelphia Phillies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Predicción 44.69%2.24momio equitativo
EV -0.345%
Ventaja -0.155%
Kelly -0.280%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%44.68%44.74%46.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.042.142.152.2349.02%46.71%46.51%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 55.31%1.81momio equitativo
EV +1.22%
Ventaja +0.667%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.40%55.32%55.26%56.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.731.721.8360.98%57.84%58.14%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Twins (Local): 44.69%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 55.31%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.81. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.83, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.22%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +1.22%E +0.667%K +1.47%G +0.018% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.439%E -0.244%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.84%E -4.33%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.55%E -0.868%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 20:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.345%E -0.155%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 20:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 20:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.39%E -4.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.791%E -0.356%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.52%E -3.86%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 20:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.94%E -3.86%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.63%E -4.57%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.74%E -5.29%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.74%E -5.29%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 23:03 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.29%E -5.66%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 20:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.16% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.84% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |