Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 46.03%2.17fair odd
EV +0.815%
Edge +0.372%
Kelly +0.685%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.08%45.94%47.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.092.082.1951.02%47.91%48.08%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 53.97%1.85fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.679%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.13%53.92%54.06%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.62%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 46.03%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 53.97%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.815%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.815%E +0.372%K +0.685%G +0.006% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-13 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.355%E +0.163%K +0.301%G +0.001% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-13 23:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.355%E +0.163%K +0.301%G +0.001% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-13 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.105%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-13 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.105%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.566%E -0.262%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 19:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 21:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.51%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 21:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.95%E -0.914%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-13 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.41%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 19:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 21:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 19:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 23:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 20:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 21:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.24%E -0.679%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 23:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.24%E -0.679%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 21:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.77%E -4.99%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-05-13 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 20:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 23:15 |