La scuola delle quote

Minnesota Twins v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-05-13 23:41 UTC

Finale: Minnesota Twins 5–9 Miami Marlins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Casa)

Previsione 46.03%2.17quota equa
EV +0.815%
Vantaggio +0.372%
Kelly +0.685%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%46.08%45.94%47.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.092.082.1951.02%47.91%48.08%45.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.97%1.85quota equa
EV -1.24%
Vantaggio -0.679%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.13%53.92%54.06%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.62%56.50%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.815%E +0.372%K +0.685%G +0.006%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-13 23:30
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.355%E +0.163%K +0.301%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:20
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.355%E +0.163%K +0.301%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:30
Everygame2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.105%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 23:30
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.105%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:30
BetAnything2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.566%E -0.262%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:30
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 19:19
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 21:34
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.51%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 21:09
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.95%E -0.914%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 23:35
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.41%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 23:25
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 21:14
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:25
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:20
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 21:14
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:34
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:49
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 21:34
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.24%E -0.679%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:24
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:35
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:35
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:34
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:20
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.24%E -0.679%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 23:40
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 23:40
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:40
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:35
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:39
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 23:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 21:15
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 23:39
DraftKings1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.77%E -4.99%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 23:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-13 23:35
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-13 20:00
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-13 19:55
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-05-13 23:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-05-13 23:40
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-05-13 23:40
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-05-13 23:15