L’École des cotes

Minnesota Twins v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 23:41 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Twins 5–9 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 46.03%2.17cote équitable
EV +0.815%
Avantage +0.372%
Kelly +0.685%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.08%45.94%47.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.092.082.1951.02%47.91%48.08%45.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.97%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.679%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.13%53.92%54.06%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.62%56.50%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.815%E +0.372%K +0.685%G +0.006%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-13 23:30
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.355%E +0.163%K +0.301%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:20
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.355%E +0.163%K +0.301%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:30
Everygame2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.105%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 23:30
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.105%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:30
BetAnything2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.566%E -0.262%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:30
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 19:19
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 21:34
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.51%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 21:09
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.95%E -0.914%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 23:35
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.41%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 23:25
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 21:14
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:25
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:20
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 21:14
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:34
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:49
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 21:34
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.24%E -0.679%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:24
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:35
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:35
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:34
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:20
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.24%E -0.679%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 23:40
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 23:40
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:40
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:35
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:39
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 23:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 21:15
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 23:39
DraftKings1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.77%E -4.99%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-13 23:35
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-13 20:00
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-13 19:55
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-05-13 23:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-05-13 23:40
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-05-13 23:40
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-05-13 23:15