La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Twins v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-05-13 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 5–9 Miami Marlins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 46.03%2.17momio equitativo
EV +0.815%
Ventaja +0.372%
Kelly +0.685%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%46.08%45.94%47.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.092.082.1951.02%47.91%48.08%45.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 53.97%1.85momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.679%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.13%53.92%54.06%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.62%56.50%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.815%E +0.372%K +0.685%G +0.006%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-13 23:30
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.355%E +0.163%K +0.301%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:20
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.355%E +0.163%K +0.301%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:30
Everygame2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.105%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 23:30
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.105%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:30
BetAnything2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.566%E -0.262%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:30
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 19:19
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 21:34
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.51%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 21:09
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.95%E -0.914%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 23:35
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.41%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 23:25
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 21:14
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:25
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:20
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 21:14
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:34
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:49
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 21:34
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.24%E -0.679%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:24
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:35
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:35
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:34
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:20
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.24%E -0.679%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 23:40
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 23:40
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:40
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:35
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:39
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 23:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 21:15
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 23:39
DraftKings1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.77%E -4.99%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-13 23:35
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-13 20:00
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-13 19:55
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-05-13 23:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-05-13 23:40
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-05-13 23:40
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-05-13 23:15