Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-05-13 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 5–9 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 46.03%2.17odd justa
EV +0.815%
Vantagem +0.372%
Kelly +0.685%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%46.08%45.94%47.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.962.092.082.1951.02%47.91%48.08%45.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 53.97%1.85odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.679%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.13%53.92%54.06%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.62%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 46.03%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 53.97%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.17. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.19, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.815%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.815%E +0.372%K +0.685%G +0.006%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-13 23:30
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.355%E +0.163%K +0.301%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:20
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.355%E +0.163%K +0.301%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:30
Everygame🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.105%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.105%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:30
BetAnything🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.566%E -0.262%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:30
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 19:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 21:34
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.03%E -0.477%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.51%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 21:09
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.95%E -0.914%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.41%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 23:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 21:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:20
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 21:14
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:30
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:34
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:35
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 21:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.24%E -0.679%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:40
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:20
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:24
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:35
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:35
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.25%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:34
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:20
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.24%E -0.679%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 23:40
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:40
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 21:15
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.93%E -3.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.77%E -4.99%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-13 23:40
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-13 23:35
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-13 20:00
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-13 19:55
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-05-13 23:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-05-13 23:40
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-05-13 23:40
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-05-13 23:15