Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Miami Marlins

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 20:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 8–6 Miami Marlins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 55.26%1.81fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.603%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.29%55.26%56.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.721.721.7960.98%58.03%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 44.74%2.24fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.935%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.04%44.71%44.74%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2148.78%46.69%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 55.26%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 44.74%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.08%E -0.603%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 20:09
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.08%E -0.603%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 20:04
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.03%E -0.925%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-18 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 20:05
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 20:09
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:05
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.13%E -0.512%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 19:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 19:35
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.71%E -2.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:09
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 20:09
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:05
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.71%E -2.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 20:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:04
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 19:24
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 20:05
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:35
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:33
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 19:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 20:00
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.47%E -1.13%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 19:34
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:09
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 19:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:10
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -9.37%E -5.71%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-18 19:45
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-07-18 20:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-07-18 20:10
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-07-18 20:05
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%2.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%4.2%2026-07-18 20:10