La scuola delle quote

Milwaukee Brewers v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-07-18 20:11 UTC

Finale: Milwaukee Brewers 8–6 Miami Marlins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Casa)

Previsione 55.26%1.81quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.603%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.66%55.29%55.26%56.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.721.721.7960.98%58.03%58.14%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.74%2.24quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.512%
Kelly -0.935%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.04%44.71%44.74%46.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.142.152.2148.78%46.69%46.51%45.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.08%E -0.603%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 20:09
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.08%E -0.603%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 20:04
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.03%E -0.925%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-18 20:05
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 20:05
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 20:05
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 20:09
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:05
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.13%E -0.512%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 19:35
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 19:35
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 20:05
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.71%E -2.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:09
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 20:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:50
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 18:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:05
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 19:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:04
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.71%E -2.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 20:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:05
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:04
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 19:24
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 19:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 20:05
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:33
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:35
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 19:35
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 20:00
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.47%E -1.13%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 19:34
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 19:25
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 19:35
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:09
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 19:58
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:05
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -9.37%E -5.71%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-18 19:45
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-07-18 20:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-07-18 20:10
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-07-18 20:05
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%2.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%4.2%2026-07-18 20:10