La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Milwaukee Brewers v Miami Marlins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Predicción 55.26%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.603%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%55.29%55.26%56.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.721.721.7960.98%58.03%58.14%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Miami Marlins (Visitante)
Predicción 44.74%2.24momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.512%
Kelly -0.935%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.04%44.71%44.74%46.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.142.152.2148.78%46.69%46.51%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.08%E -0.603%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 20:09 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.08%E -0.603%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 20:04 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.03%E -0.925%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 20:09 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.13%E -0.512%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 19:35 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-18 19:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.71%E -2.21%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 20:09 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 20:09 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-18 19:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-18 20:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.71%E -2.21%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 20:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 19:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 19:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 19:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 19:33 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 19:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.47%E -1.13%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 19:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 20:09 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 19:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -9.37%E -5.71%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 19:45 |
| Novig | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.6% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| BetOpenly | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 3.1% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |