L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 20:11 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 8–6 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 55.26%1.81cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.603%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.66%55.29%55.26%56.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.721.721.7960.98%58.03%58.14%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.74%2.24cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.512%
Kelly -0.935%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.04%44.71%44.74%46.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.142.152.2148.78%46.69%46.51%45.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.08%E -0.603%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 20:09
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.08%E -0.603%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 20:04
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.03%E -0.925%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-18 20:05
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 20:05
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 20:05
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 20:09
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:05
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.13%E -0.512%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 19:35
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 19:35
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 20:05
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.71%E -2.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:09
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 20:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:50
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 18:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:05
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 19:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:04
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.71%E -2.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 20:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:05
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:04
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 19:24
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 19:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 20:05
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:33
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:35
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 19:35
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 20:00
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.47%E -1.13%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 19:34
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 19:25
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 19:35
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:09
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 19:58
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:05
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -9.37%E -5.71%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-18 19:45
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-07-18 20:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-07-18 20:10
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-07-18 20:05
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%2.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%4.2%2026-07-18 20:10