مدرسة الاحتمالات

Milwaukee Brewers v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-07-18 20:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Milwaukee Brewers 8–6 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.26%1.81السعر العادل
EV -1.08%
الأفضلية -0.603%
Kelly -1.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.66%55.29%55.26%56.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.641.721.721.7960.98%58.03%58.14%55.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.74%2.24السعر العادل
EV -1.13%
الأفضلية -0.512%
Kelly -0.935%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.04%44.71%44.74%46.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.142.152.2148.78%46.69%46.51%45.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.08%E -0.603%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 20:09
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.08%E -0.603%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 20:04
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.03%E -0.925%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-18 20:05
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 20:05
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 20:05
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 20:09
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:05
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.13%E -0.512%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 19:35
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 19:35
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 20:05
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.71%E -2.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:09
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 20:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:50
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 18:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:05
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 19:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:04
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.71%E -2.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 20:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:05
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:04
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 19:24
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 19:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 20:05
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:33
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:35
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 19:35
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 20:00
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.47%E -1.13%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 19:34
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 19:25
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 19:35
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:09
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 19:58
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 20:05
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -9.37%E -5.71%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 18:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-18 19:45
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-07-18 20:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-07-18 20:10
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-07-18 20:05
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%2.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%4.2%2026-07-18 20:10