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Miami Marlins v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 57.06%1.75fair odd
EV -0.138%
Edge -0.079%
Kelly -0.184%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%57.07%57.16%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.62%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 42.94%2.33fair odd
EV +0.041%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.031%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%42.93%42.84%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.232.3347.62%45.02%44.84%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 57.06%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 42.94%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.329. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.330, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.041%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.041%E +0.018%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.041%E +0.018%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.11%E -0.924%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 16:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.56%E -4.66%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.138%E -0.079%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.42%E -1.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 14:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 14:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.56%E -4.66%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 14:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.42%E -3.91%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.28%E -0.740%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.83%E -4.68%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 18:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.83%E -4.68%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 16:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 0.2% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 16:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |