مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v St. Louis Cardinals

البداية: 2026-04-22 16:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 4–1 St. Louis Cardinals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.06%1.75السعر العادل
EV -0.138%
الأفضلية -0.079%
Kelly -0.184%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.83%57.07%57.16%58.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.62%59.88%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.94%2.33السعر العادل
EV +0.041%
الأفضلية +0.018%
Kelly +0.031%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.77%42.93%42.84%45.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.222.232.3347.62%45.02%44.84%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.041%E +0.018%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.041%E +0.018%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-22 16:04
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-22 16:04
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 16:09
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.11%E -0.924%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 16:09
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 16:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 16:09
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 16:08
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 16:09
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 16:04
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.56%E -4.66%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 16:04
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 16:09
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.138%E -0.079%K -0.184%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-22 15:04
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:04
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:09
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.42%E -1.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:09
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:09
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:09
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:09
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:04
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:04
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:04
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.56%E -4.66%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:04
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 14:09
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:04
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:04
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:09
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.42%E -3.91%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.28%E -0.740%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.83%E -4.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:34
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.83%E -4.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 16:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-22 16:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-22 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-22 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-22 16:09
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-22 16:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-22 16:10
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-22 16:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-04-22 16:04
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-04-22 16:09