L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 16:11 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 4–1 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 57.06%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.138%
Avantage -0.079%
Kelly -0.184%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%57.07%57.16%58.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.62%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.94%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.041%
Avantage +0.018%
Kelly +0.031%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.77%42.93%42.84%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.232.3347.62%45.02%44.84%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.041%E +0.018%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.041%E +0.018%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-22 16:04
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-22 16:04
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 16:09
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.11%E -0.924%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 16:09
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 16:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 16:09
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 16:08
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 16:09
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 16:04
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.56%E -4.66%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 16:04
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 16:09
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.138%E -0.079%K -0.184%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-22 15:04
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:04
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:09
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.42%E -1.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:09
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:09
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:09
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:09
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:04
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:04
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:04
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.56%E -4.66%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:04
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 14:09
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:04
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:04
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:09
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.42%E -3.91%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.28%E -0.740%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.83%E -4.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:34
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.83%E -4.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 16:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-22 16:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-22 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-22 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-22 16:09
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-22 16:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-22 16:10
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-22 16:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-04-22 16:04
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-04-22 16:09