A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-04-22 16:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 4–1 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 57.06%1.75odd justa
EV -0.138%
Vantagem -0.079%
Kelly -0.184%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.83%57.07%57.16%58.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.62%59.88%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 42.94%2.33odd justa
EV +0.041%
Vantagem +0.018%
Kelly +0.031%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.77%42.93%42.84%45.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.222.232.3347.62%45.02%44.84%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.041%E +0.018%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.041%E +0.018%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-22 16:04
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.818%E -0.354%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-22 16:04
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 16:09
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.25%E -0.542%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.11%E -0.924%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 16:09
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 16:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 16:09
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 16:08
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 16:09
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 16:04
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.56%E -4.66%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.39%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 16:04
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 16:09
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:09
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:09
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.138%E -0.079%K -0.184%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-22 15:04
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:04
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.68%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:09
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.42%E -1.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:09
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:09
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:09
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:09
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:04
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:04
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:04
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.56%E -4.66%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.54%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:04
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 14:09
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:04
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.40%E -2.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:04
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:09
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:09
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.42%E -3.91%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.28%E -0.740%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.83%E -4.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:34
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.83%E -4.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 16:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-22 16:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-22 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-22 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-22 16:09
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-22 16:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-22 16:10
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-22 16:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-04-22 16:04
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-04-22 16:09