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Miami Marlins v Seattle Mariners
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Miami Marlins (Хозяева)
Прогноз 45.86%2.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.024%
Преимущество -0.011%
Kelly -0.020%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.18
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.30%46.06%45.83%48.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.952.092.102.1851.28%47.79%47.62%45.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Seattle Mariners (Гости)
Прогноз 54.14%1.85справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.925%
Преимущество -0.505%
Kelly -1.11%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.00%53.94%54.17%55.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.681.761.751.8359.52%56.98%57.14%54.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Miami Marlins (Хозяева): 45.86%; Seattle Mariners (Гости): 54.14%. Для исхода «Miami Marlins (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.181. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.180, математическое ожидание — -0.024%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.024%E -0.011%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.483%E -0.222%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.941%E -0.436%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-09 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 22:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-09 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 22:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.925%E -0.505%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-09 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.47%E -0.806%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 15:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 19:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 22:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.05%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-09 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.15%E -1.99%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 22:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-09 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-09 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.44%E -3.16%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.925%E -0.505%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-09 22:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-09 22:33 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 0.9% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 1.2% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.0% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06% | 2.2% | 2026-07-09 16:19 |