مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Seattle Mariners

البداية: 2026-07-09 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 8–4 Seattle Mariners

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.86%2.18السعر العادل
EV -0.024%
الأفضلية -0.011%
Kelly -0.020%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.30%46.06%45.83%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.092.102.1851.28%47.79%47.62%45.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Seattle Mariners (الضيف)

التنبؤ 54.14%1.85السعر العادل
EV -0.925%
الأفضلية -0.505%
Kelly -1.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.94%54.17%55.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.761.751.8359.52%56.98%57.14%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.024%E -0.011%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 22:34
Everygame2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.483%E -0.222%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 22:34
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.941%E -0.436%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 22:35
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 22:35
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 22:29
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 22:39
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 22:14
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 22:34
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:35
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:35
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:09
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:05
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:09
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:10
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.925%E -0.505%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-09 22:09
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 22:40
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.47%E -0.806%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 22:30
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 22:39
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:10
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:35
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 15:20
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 22:34
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:29
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:40
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:34
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 19:40
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 22:24
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.05%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 22:05
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.15%E -1.99%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 22:34
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:24
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:24
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 22:40
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:34
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:34
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 22:35
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:20
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 22:39
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 22:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 15:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:30
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 22:39
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 15:20
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.44%E -3.16%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.925%E -0.505%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-09 22:33
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 22:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 17:05
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 22:33
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-07-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-07-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-07-09 22:40
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-07-09 22:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-09 22:40
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-09 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-07-09 22:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-07-09 22:40
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-07-09 22:40
BetOpenly2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%2.2%2026-07-09 16:19