L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-09 22:41 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 8–4 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 45.86%2.18cote équitable
EV -0.024%
Avantage -0.011%
Kelly -0.020%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.06%45.83%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.092.102.1851.28%47.79%47.62%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.14%1.85cote équitable
EV -0.925%
Avantage -0.505%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.94%54.17%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.761.751.8359.52%56.98%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.024%E -0.011%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 22:34
Everygame2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.483%E -0.222%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 22:34
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.941%E -0.436%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 22:35
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 22:35
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 22:29
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 22:39
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 22:14
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 22:34
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:35
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:35
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:09
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:05
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:09
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:10
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.925%E -0.505%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-09 22:09
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 22:40
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.47%E -0.806%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 22:30
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 22:39
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:10
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:35
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 15:20
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 22:34
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:29
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:40
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:34
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 19:40
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 22:24
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.05%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 22:05
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.15%E -1.99%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 22:34
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:24
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:24
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 22:40
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:34
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:34
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 22:35
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:20
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 22:39
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 22:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 15:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:30
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 22:39
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 15:20
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.44%E -3.16%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.925%E -0.505%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-09 22:33
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 22:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 17:05
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 22:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-07-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-07-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-07-09 22:40
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-07-09 22:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-09 22:40
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-09 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-07-09 22:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-07-09 22:40
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-07-09 22:40
BetOpenly2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%2.2%2026-07-09 16:19