A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-07-09 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 8–4 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 45.86%2.18odd justa
EV -0.024%
Vantagem -0.011%
Kelly -0.020%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%46.06%45.83%48.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.092.102.1851.28%47.79%47.62%45.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 54.14%1.85odd justa
EV -0.925%
Vantagem -0.505%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.94%54.17%55.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.761.751.8359.52%56.98%57.14%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.024%E -0.011%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 22:34
Everygame2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.483%E -0.222%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 22:34
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.941%E -0.436%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 22:35
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 22:35
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 22:29
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 22:39
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 22:14
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 22:34
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:35
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:34
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:35
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:09
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:05
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:09
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.86%E -0.868%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:10
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.925%E -0.505%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-09 22:09
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 22:40
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.47%E -0.806%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 22:30
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 22:39
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:10
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:35
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 15:20
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 22:34
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:29
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:40
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:34
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 19:40
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 22:24
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.05%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 22:05
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.15%E -1.99%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 22:34
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:24
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 22:24
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 22:40
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:34
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:34
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 22:35
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:20
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 22:39
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 22:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 15:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:30
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 22:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 22:34
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 22:39
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 15:20
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.44%E -3.16%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.925%E -0.505%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-09 22:33
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 22:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 17:05
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 22:33
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-07-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-07-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-07-09 22:40
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-07-09 22:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-09 22:40
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-09 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-07-09 22:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-07-09 22:40
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-07-09 22:40
BetOpenly2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%2.2%2026-07-09 16:19