The School of Odds
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Miami Marlins v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-11 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 47.81%2.09fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.60%47.75%47.78%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.0652.36%49.84%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 52.19%1.92fair odd
EV -0.834%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.25%52.22%53.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.811.9057.80%55.06%55.25%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami Marlins (Local): 47.81%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 52.19%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.90, with an expected value of -0.834%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 19:29
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 19:50
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 19:30
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 20:10
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:24
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:25
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:23
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:24
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:25
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 00:25
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.95%E -1.45%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 21:44
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.43%E -1.70%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.834%E -0.439%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 21:29
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.43%E -1.70%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -1.88%E -0.999%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-10 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:10
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 19:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:45
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 20:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 20:09
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 20:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 00:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 00:24
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.86%E -2.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.86%E -2.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:45
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.82%E -2.95%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.97%E -2.16%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 21:19
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 00:24
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.78%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 20:15
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 18:48
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 18:48
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 22:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.21%E -4.28%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-10 22:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-08-11 00:20
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-10 20:40
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-08-10 20:15
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-08-11 01:10
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-08-10 23:05
BetOpenly◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%3.9%2026-08-10 23:20
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%7.9%2026-08-11 01:20

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