Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-11 22:41 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 47.81%2.09odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.736%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.60%47.75%47.78%48.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.012.002.0652.36%49.81%50.00%48.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 52.19%1.92odd justa
EV -0.834%
Vantagem -0.439%
Kelly -0.927%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.53%52.25%52.22%53.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.811.811.9057.80%55.10%55.25%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Miami Marlins (Local): 47.81%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 52.19%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.92. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.90, com valor esperado de -0.834%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 19:29
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 19:50
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 19:30
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 20:10
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:24
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:25
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:23
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:24
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:25
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 00:25
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.95%E -1.45%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 21:44
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.43%E -1.70%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.834%E -0.439%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 21:29
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.43%E -1.70%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -1.88%E -0.999%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-10 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:10
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 19:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:45
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 20:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 20:09
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 20:10
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 02:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 00:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 00:24
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.86%E -2.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.86%E -2.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:45
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.82%E -2.95%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.97%E -2.16%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 21:19
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 00:24
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 18:48
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 18:48
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 22:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.21%E -4.28%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-10 22:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-08-11 00:20
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-10 20:40
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-08-11 02:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-08-10 20:15
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-08-10 23:05
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%3.9%2026-08-10 23:20
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%7.3%2026-08-11 02:05

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