语言:简体中文
Miami Marlins v Pittsburgh Pirates
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Miami Marlins (主队)
预测 49.20%2.03公平赔率
EV +0.870%
优势 +0.424%
Kelly +0.828%
增长率 +0.007%
假设最高赔率为 2.05
博彩公司预测分布
47.16%49.10%49.23%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.941.932.0553.48%51.60%51.81%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)
预测 50.80%1.97公平赔率
EV -0.949%
优势 -0.487%
Kelly -0.999%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.95
博彩公司预测分布
50.00%50.90%50.77%52.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.811.881.881.9555.25%53.24%53.19%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Miami Marlins (主队)：49.20%；Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)：50.80%。 对于“Miami Marlins (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.03。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.05，对应+0.870%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV +0.870%E +0.424%K +0.828%G +0.007% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.59%E -0.795%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 18:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.59%E -0.795%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.08%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.46%E -0.751%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.46%E -0.751%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 22:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.07%E -1.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.949%E -0.487%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.54%E -3.55%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 20:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 19:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.52%E -2.97%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 20:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 22:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 22:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.54%E -3.55%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -8.06%E -4.45%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-11 22:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.27%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -7.99%E -4.27%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.06%E -4.45%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-11 22:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 21:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 34.48% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 65.52% | 52.6% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |