Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-11 22:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 47.81%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.736%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.60%47.75%47.78%48.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.012.002.0652.36%49.81%50.00%48.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.19%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.834%
Avantage -0.439%
Kelly -0.927%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.53%52.25%52.22%53.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.811.811.9057.80%55.10%55.25%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Miami Marlins (Local) : 47.81% ; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur) : 52.19%. Pour Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.92. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.90, pour une espérance de -0.834% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.52%E -0.736%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:24
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 19:29
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 19:50
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.99%E -0.973%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 19:30
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 20:10
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:24
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:25
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:23
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:24
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.58%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:25
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 00:25
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.95%E -1.45%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 21:44
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.43%E -1.70%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.834%E -0.439%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 21:29
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.43%E -1.70%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -1.88%E -0.999%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-10 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:10
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 19:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:45
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 20:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 20:09
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 20:10
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 02:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 00:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 00:24
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.86%E -2.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.86%E -2.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:45
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.82%E -2.95%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.97%E -2.16%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 21:19
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 00:24
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 18:48
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 18:48
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 22:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.21%E -4.28%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-10 22:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-08-11 00:20
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-10 20:40
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-08-11 02:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-08-10 20:15
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-08-10 23:05
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%3.9%2026-08-10 23:20
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%7.3%2026-08-11 02:05

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