Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inizio: 2026-08-11 22:41 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 2–0 Pittsburgh Pirates

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 49.20%2.03quota equa
EV +0.870%
Vantaggio +0.424%
Kelly +0.828%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.16%49.10%49.23%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.941.932.0553.48%51.60%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.80%1.97quota equa
EV -0.949%
Vantaggio -0.487%
Kelly -0.999%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%50.90%50.77%52.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.881.881.9555.25%53.24%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Miami Marlins (Casa): 49.20%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta): 50.80%. Per Miami Marlins (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.03. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.05, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.870%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV +0.870%E +0.424%K +0.828%G +0.007%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.59%E -0.795%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 18:49
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.59%E -0.795%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-11 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.08%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.46%E -0.751%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:05
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.46%E -0.751%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 21:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:05
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:04
Caesars🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.57%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.07%E -1.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 22:15
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.949%E -0.487%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 22:40
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:38
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 19:50
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 22:34
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:35
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.54%E -3.55%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 22:39
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:15
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:15
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:14
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:15
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 20:09
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:40
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 19:04
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 19:45
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.52%E -2.97%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 20:04
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 22:28
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 22:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.54%E -3.55%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -8.06%E -4.45%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 22:38
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 22:04
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -7.99%E -4.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.06%E -4.45%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-11 22:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-11 22:40
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-08-11 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-08-11 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-08-11 22:35
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-11 21:25
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-11 18:20
ProphetX◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-08-11 22:40
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-08-11 22:40
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%5.9%2026-08-11 22:39
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 34.48%1.00I 100.00%NM 65.52%52.6%2026-08-11 22:40