Language:English
Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 38.91%2.57fair odd
EV -0.780%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.503%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.88%38.85%38.93%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.422.5544.44%41.22%41.32%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 61.09%1.64fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%61.15%61.07%63.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.551.6267.11%64.41%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 38.91%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 61.09%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.780%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.780%E -0.306%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.98%E -6.02%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.17%E -0.460%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.17%E -0.460%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.56%E -0.616%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.64%E -1.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 12:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.87%E -1.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -7.75%E -5.14%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -3.50%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.03%E -0.638%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.50%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.89%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.89%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.06%E -2.07%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 12:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.92%E -3.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.92%E -3.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 14:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.17%E -3.46%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.14%E -4.70%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.03%E -0.638%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -12.45%E -5.53%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.14%E -4.70%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.65I 37.74%NM 38.08% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.92% | -0.9% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-07-29 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 13:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11% | 1.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.00% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00% | 12.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
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