Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-29 16:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 41.26%2.42fair odd
EV -0.975%
Edge -0.406%
Kelly -0.696%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%41.27%41.33%41.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.4045.45%43.33%43.38%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 58.74%1.70fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.05%58.73%58.67%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.83%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.975%E -0.406%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.43%E -3.37%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 22:45
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.21%E -0.934%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 22:29
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 20:25
MyBookie.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 20:34
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 21:39
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.04%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-29 00:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.04%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 01:09
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.04%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:59
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:59
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:59
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.43%E -3.37%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:58
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.43%E -3.37%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:59
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.43%E -3.37%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 00:55
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 20:35
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 00:00
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:59
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 00:00
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:58
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:59
SportsBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -4.69%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 20:25
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 20:29
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 00:54
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:34
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:34
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:39
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:34
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 22:24
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 00:00
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 23:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 20:24
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 00:55
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -5.51%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -3.67%E -2.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 00:55
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.34%E -2.79%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 01:09
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 00:54
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 00:54
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.43%E -3.37%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 00:54
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.43%E -3.37%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 00:53
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.95%K -13.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -9.23%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 00:54
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.23%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.19%E -4.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 00:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-28 18:45
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-28 19:00
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-07-29 00:15
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%5.2%2026-07-29 01:09
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%10.0%2026-07-29 00:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%13.8%2026-07-29 00:30