默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间: 2026-07-29 16:11 UTC

最终结果: Miami Marlins 8–6 Philadelphia Phillies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins (主队)

预测 38.91%2.57公平赔率
EV -0.780%
优势 -0.306%
Kelly -0.503%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
36.88%38.85%38.93%41.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.432.422.5544.44%41.22%41.32%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 61.09%1.64公平赔率
EV -1.03%
优势 -0.638%
Kelly -1.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
58.67%61.15%61.07%63.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.491.551.551.6267.11%64.41%64.52%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Miami Marlins (主队):38.91%;Philadelphia Phillies (客队):61.09%。 对于“Miami Marlins (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.57。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.55,期望值为-0.780%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.780%E -0.306%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.98%E -6.02%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.17%E -0.460%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-29 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.17%E -0.460%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-29 16:00
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.56%E -0.616%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 16:10
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.64%E -1.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 12:50
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-29 16:09
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 16:10
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 16:10
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 16:10
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 16:10
BetAnything🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.87%E -1.80%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-29 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -7.75%E -5.14%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 16:10
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -3.50%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.03%E -0.638%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 15:10
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.50%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-29 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.89%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 15:04
Bovada🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.89%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 12:40
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:09
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:10
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:10
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.06%E -2.07%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 15:45
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 15:45
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 13:45
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 16:10
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 15:15
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 16:10
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 12:44
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 12:45
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 16:10
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 16:00
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.92%E -3.84%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 16:10
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.92%E -3.84%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 16:10
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 16:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 16:10
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 16:10
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 14:49
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 14:30
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.17%E -3.46%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.14%E -4.70%K -13.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 16:09
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 16:10
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-29 16:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.03%E -0.638%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 15:45
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 15:55
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -12.45%E -5.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.14%E -4.70%K -13.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-29 16:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎2.65I 37.74%NM 38.08%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.92%-0.9%2026-07-29 16:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-07-29 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-07-29 15:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-07-29 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-07-29 16:10
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-29 13:25
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-29 16:10
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%1.6%2026-07-29 16:10
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-07-29 16:10
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 40.00%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%12.6%2026-07-29 16:10