Idioma:Español
Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 38.91%2.57momio equitativo
EV -0.780%
Ventaja -0.306%
Kelly -0.503%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.88%38.85%38.93%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.432.422.5544.44%41.22%41.32%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 61.09%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.638%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%61.15%61.07%63.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.551.551.6267.11%64.41%64.52%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Marlins (Local): 38.91%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 61.09%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.57. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.55, con un valor esperado de -0.780%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.780%E -0.306%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.98%E -6.02%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.17%E -0.460%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.17%E -0.460%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.56%E -0.616%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.64%E -1.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 12:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.87%E -1.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -7.75%E -5.14%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -3.50%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.03%E -0.638%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.50%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.89%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.89%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.06%E -2.07%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 12:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.92%E -3.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.92%E -3.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 14:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.17%E -3.46%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.14%E -4.70%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.03%E -0.638%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -12.45%E -5.53%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.14%E -4.70%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.65I 37.74%NM 38.08% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.92% | -0.9% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-07-29 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 13:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11% | 1.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.00% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00% | 12.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |