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Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Miami Marlins (Хозяева)
Прогноз 38.91%2.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.780%
Преимущество -0.306%
Kelly -0.503%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.55
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.88%38.85%38.93%41.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.252.432.422.5544.44%41.22%41.32%39.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Philadelphia Phillies (Гости)
Прогноз 61.09%1.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.03%
Преимущество -0.638%
Kelly -1.67%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.62
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.67%61.15%61.07%63.12%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.491.551.551.6267.11%64.41%64.52%61.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Miami Marlins (Хозяева): 38.91%; Philadelphia Phillies (Гости): 61.09%. Для исхода «Miami Marlins (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.57. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.55, математическое ожидание — -0.780%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.780%E -0.306%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.98%E -6.02%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.17%E -0.460%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.17%E -0.460%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.56%E -0.616%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.64%E -1.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 12:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.87%E -1.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -7.75%E -5.14%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -3.50%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.03%E -0.638%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.50%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.89%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.89%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.06%E -2.07%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.84%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.26%E -1.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 12:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.48%E -2.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.70%E -3.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.92%E -3.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.92%E -3.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.62%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 14:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.53%E -4.27%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.17%E -3.46%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.14%E -4.70%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.60%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.36%E -5.58%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.03%E -0.638%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.51%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.31%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -12.45%E -5.53%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.14%E -4.70%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.65I 37.74%NM 38.08% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.92% | -0.9% | 2026-07-29 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-07-29 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 13:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11% | 1.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.00% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00% | 12.6% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |