Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-29 16:11 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 41.48%2.41cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.896%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.66%41.46%41.38%43.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.302.302.3645.45%43.54%43.48%42.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.52%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -2.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.54%58.62%59.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.631.621.6863.69%61.51%61.73%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.11%E -0.896%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 01:39
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.11%E -0.896%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 01:39
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.11%E -0.896%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 20:25
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.11%E -0.896%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 21:39
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.68%E -1.00%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 01:47
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.44%E -2.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-29 00:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 01:09
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 01:49
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 01:44
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.36%E -1.44%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.36%E -1.44%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:59
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.36%E -1.44%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:59
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.36%E -1.44%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:59
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.77%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 00:00
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.77%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.77%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:59
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.77%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 00:00
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.77%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:58
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.77%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:59
SportsBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -4.19%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -6.95%E -4.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 20:25
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:44
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 02:04
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 00:54
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:34
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:34
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:39
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:34
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 00:00
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 23:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 01:44
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 20:24
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.60%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 00:55
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -5.02%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 00:55
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.43%E -2.38%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 01:44
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.85%E -2.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:39
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.85%E -2.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:39
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.85%E -2.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.44%E -2.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.44%E -2.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:40
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.44%E -2.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:40
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 00:54
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 00:54
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 00:54
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 00:53
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 00:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.75%E -3.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.75%E -3.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:39
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -8.75%E -3.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -6.95%E -4.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 00:54
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.75%E -3.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.53%E -4.77%K -12.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 00:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-07-29 02:05
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-28 18:45
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-28 19:00
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-07-29 02:10
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%10.0%2026-07-29 00:55