The School of Odds

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-27 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 39.73%2.52fair odd
EV -0.679%
Edge -0.271%
Kelly -0.452%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.12%39.77%39.70%40.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.74%41.67%40.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 60.27%1.66fair odd
EV -0.552%
Edge -0.335%
Kelly -0.849%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.19%60.23%60.30%61.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.591.6566.67%63.15%62.89%60.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.679%E -0.271%K -0.452%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.98%E -3.83%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 00:15
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.679%E -0.271%K -0.452%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.18%E -4.66%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 23:05
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.47%E -0.594%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 23:25
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.87%E -0.757%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.87%E -0.757%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 23:25
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 23:25
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 22:40
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:35
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 19:55
MyBookie.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 22:34
DraftKings2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 22:30
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.46%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:45
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.46%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:45
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.46%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 22:39
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -4.25%E -1.77%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.552%E -0.335%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 00:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 23:20
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 21:15
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 21:16
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 23:55
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 19:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 22:45
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 23:50
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:30
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 22:40
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.98%E -3.83%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 22:30
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.05%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 19:55
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 19:50
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 20:00
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 21:15
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 21:15
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 19:51
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 01:10
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 21:15
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.98%E -3.83%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 22:33
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.58%E -4.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 22:30
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.58%E -4.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 22:29
NordicBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.84%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 22:32
Betsson2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.84%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 22:33
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.64%E -2.82%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 23:50
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.64%E -2.82%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 23:50
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.64%E -2.82%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 20:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.64%E -2.82%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:35
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.64%E -2.82%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 20:00
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.64%E -2.82%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 20:00
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.64%E -2.82%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 20:00
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.04%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 00:50
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.04%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 19:55
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.43%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.18%E -4.66%K -13.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 01:45
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.62%E -3.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.78%E -5.09%K -14.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.59%E -6.40%K -19.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%0.5%2026-07-27 02:05
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-27 02:00
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-07-27 01:40
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%7.2%2026-07-27 02:00
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%10.0%2026-07-27 00:15
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 40.27%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.73%10.9%2026-07-27 02:00