Language:English
Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 36.47%2.74fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +0.497%
Kelly +0.776%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.59%36.58%36.55%38.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.562.7842.55%38.77%39.06%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 63.53%1.57fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.984%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.20%63.42%63.45%65.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5569.44%66.96%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 36.47%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 63.53%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +1.38%E +0.497%K +0.776%G +0.011% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-27 22:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -0.442%E -0.162%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -0.442%E -0.162%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -0.807%E -0.297%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.88%E -5.43%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.88%E -5.43%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.63%E -0.985%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.53%E -0.984%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 22:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -4.09%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.55%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.28%E -2.44%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.64%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.75%EV -7.74%E -3.06%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.53%E -0.984%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.43%E -2.26%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.16%E -1.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -11.38%E -4.68%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.30%E -6.09%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 1.9% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.31% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.69% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
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