L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-27 22:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 39.64%2.52cote équitable
EV -0.902%
Avantage -0.361%
Kelly -0.601%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.12%39.67%39.65%40.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.62%41.67%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.36%1.66cote équitable
EV -0.405%
Avantage -0.245%
Kelly -0.623%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.36%60.33%60.35%61.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.581.6566.67%63.35%63.49%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.902%E -0.361%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 00:15
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.902%E -0.361%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 03:09
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.69%E -0.683%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 23:25
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.09%E -0.847%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.09%E -0.847%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 23:25
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 23:25
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 22:40
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:35
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 19:55
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 02:45
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 02:42
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 02:45
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 02:15
MyBookie.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 22:34
DraftKings2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 22:30
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.68%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:45
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.68%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:45
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.68%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 22:39
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -4.47%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.405%E -0.245%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 00:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 23:20
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 21:15
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 21:16
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 19:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 22:45
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:30
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:45
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:45
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 22:40
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:45
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:45
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 22:40
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 22:30
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.26%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 19:55
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 19:50
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 21:15
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 21:15
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 19:51
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 01:10
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 21:15
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 22:33
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 22:30
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 22:29
NordicBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 22:32
Betsson2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 22:33
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.85%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.85%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:40
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.85%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:40
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.24%E -3.10%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 00:50
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.24%E -3.10%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 19:55
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.64%E -3.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 01:45
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.81%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 22:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-07-27 02:55
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-27 02:00
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-27 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-07-27 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-07-27 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-07-27 03:00
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.8%2026-07-27 03:15
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 39.38%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.62%8.5%2026-07-27 02:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%10.0%2026-07-27 00:15