Langue:Français
Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prévision 36.47%2.74cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.497%
Kelly +0.776%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 2.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.59%36.58%36.55%38.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.582.562.7842.55%38.77%39.06%35.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)
Prévision 63.53%1.57cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.984%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.20%63.42%63.45%65.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.491.501.5569.44%66.96%66.67%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Miami Marlins (Local) : 36.47% ; Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur) : 63.53%. Pour Miami Marlins (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.74. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.78, soit une espérance positive de +1.38%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +1.38%E +0.497%K +0.776%G +0.011% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-27 22:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -0.442%E -0.162%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -0.442%E -0.162%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -0.807%E -0.297%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.88%E -5.43%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.88%E -5.43%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.63%E -0.985%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.53%E -0.984%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 22:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -4.09%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.55%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.28%E -2.44%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.64%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.75%EV -7.74%E -3.06%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.53%E -0.984%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.43%E -2.26%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.16%E -1.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -11.38%E -4.68%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.30%E -6.09%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 1.9% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.1% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.31% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.69% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |