La escuela de los momios

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-27 22:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 39.64%2.52momio equitativo
EV -0.902%
Ventaja -0.361%
Kelly -0.601%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.12%39.67%39.65%40.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.62%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 60.36%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.405%
Ventaja -0.245%
Kelly -0.623%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.36%60.33%60.35%61.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.581.6566.67%63.35%63.49%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.902%E -0.361%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 00:15
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.902%E -0.361%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 03:09
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.69%E -0.683%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 23:25
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.09%E -0.847%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.09%E -0.847%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 23:25
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 23:25
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 22:40
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:35
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 19:55
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 02:45
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 02:42
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 02:45
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 02:15
MyBookie.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 22:34
DraftKings2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 22:30
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.68%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:45
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.68%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:45
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.68%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 22:39
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -4.47%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.405%E -0.245%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 00:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 23:20
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 21:15
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 21:16
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 19:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 22:45
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:30
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:45
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:45
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 22:40
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:45
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:45
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 22:40
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 22:30
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.26%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 19:55
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 19:50
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 21:15
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 21:15
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 19:51
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 01:10
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 21:15
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 22:33
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 22:30
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 22:29
NordicBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 22:32
Betsson2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 22:33
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.85%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.85%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:40
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.85%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:40
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.24%E -3.10%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 00:50
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.24%E -3.10%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 19:55
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.64%E -3.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 01:45
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.81%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 22:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-07-27 02:55
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-27 02:00
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-27 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-07-27 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-07-27 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-07-27 03:00
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.8%2026-07-27 03:15
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 39.38%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.62%8.5%2026-07-27 02:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%10.0%2026-07-27 00:15