默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间: 2026-07-27 22:41 UTC

最终结果: Miami Marlins 8–7 Philadelphia Phillies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins (主队)

预测 36.47%2.74公平赔率
EV +1.38%
优势 +0.497%
Kelly +0.776%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 2.78

博彩公司预测分布
34.59%36.58%36.55%38.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.582.562.7842.55%38.77%39.06%35.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 63.53%1.57公平赔率
EV -1.53%
优势 -0.984%
Kelly -2.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.55

博彩公司预测分布
61.20%63.42%63.45%65.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.491.501.5569.44%66.96%66.67%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Miami Marlins (主队):36.47%;Philadelphia Phillies (客队):63.53%。 对于“Miami Marlins (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.74。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.78,对应+1.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +1.38%E +0.497%K +0.776%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 22:29
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 22:40
BetAnything🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -0.442%E -0.162%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-27 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -0.442%E -0.162%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 22:35
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -0.807%E -0.297%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 22:35
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:10
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 22:35
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 22:35
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 22:05
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.88%E -5.43%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.88%E -5.43%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 22:05
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 22:40
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.63%E -0.985%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.53%E -0.984%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 22:24
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:10
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -4.09%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:35
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:34
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 22:40
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 21:49
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 21:25
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 21:25
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.55%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:25
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.28%E -2.44%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:40
DraftKings🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.64%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:35
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:40
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:40
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 22:40
NordicBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.75%EV -7.74%E -3.06%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 22:40
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.53%E -0.984%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 22:40
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.43%E -2.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 22:40
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 22:30
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 22:40
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-27 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-27 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-27 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.16%E -1.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 22:40
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -11.38%E -4.68%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.30%E -6.09%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 22:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-07-27 20:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-07-27 22:35
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Novig2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%1.9%2026-07-27 22:40
ProphetX2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.1%2026-07-27 22:40
BetOpenly2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%3.4%2026-07-27 22:20
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 37.31%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.69%10.8%2026-07-27 22:40