Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

Początek: 2026-07-27 22:41 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Miami Marlins 8–7 Philadelphia Phillies

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Miami Marlins (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.47%2.74kurs godziwy
EV +1.38%
Przewaga +0.497%
Kelly +0.776%
Wzrost +0.011%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.78

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.59%36.58%36.55%38.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.352.582.562.7842.55%38.77%39.06%35.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Philadelphia Phillies (Goście)

Prognoza 63.53%1.57kurs godziwy
EV -1.53%
Przewaga -0.984%
Kelly -2.77%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.20%63.42%63.45%65.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.441.491.501.5569.44%66.96%66.67%64.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Miami Marlins (Gospodarze): 36.47%; Philadelphia Phillies (Goście): 63.53%. Dla wyniku Miami Marlins (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.74. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.78, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.38%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Caesars🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +1.38%E +0.497%K +0.776%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 22:29
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 22:40
BetAnything🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -0.442%E -0.162%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-27 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -0.442%E -0.162%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 22:35
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -0.807%E -0.297%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 22:35
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:10
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 22:35
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 22:35
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 22:05
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.88%E -5.43%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.88%E -5.43%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 22:05
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 22:40
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.63%E -0.985%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.53%E -0.984%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 22:24
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:10
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -4.09%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:35
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:34
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 22:40
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 21:49
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 21:25
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 21:25
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.55%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:25
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.28%E -2.44%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:40
DraftKings🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.64%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:35
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:40
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:40
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 22:40
NordicBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.75%EV -7.74%E -3.06%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 22:40
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.53%E -0.984%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 22:40
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.43%E -2.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 22:40
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 22:30
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 22:40
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-27 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-27 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-27 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.16%E -1.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 22:40
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:40
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -11.38%E -4.68%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.30%E -6.09%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 22:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-07-27 20:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-07-27 22:35
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Novig2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%1.9%2026-07-27 22:40
ProphetX2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.1%2026-07-27 22:40
BetOpenly2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%3.4%2026-07-27 22:20
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 37.31%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.69%10.8%2026-07-27 22:40