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Miami Marlins v New York Mets

2026-09-08 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 55.13%1.81fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.11%55.12%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.731.731.7960.98%57.75%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 44.87%2.23fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%44.89%44.88%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.112.2050.00%47.19%47.39%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami Marlins (Local): 55.13%; New York Mets (Visit): 44.87%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -1.29%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.31%E -0.732%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-07 17:45
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.29%E -0.588%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 18:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.29%E -0.588%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:35
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 18:45
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.99%E -1.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 18:25
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:55
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:38
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 18:55
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 18:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 19:04
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:39
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 17:39
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.82%E -4.04%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.48%E -5.11%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.58%E -5.84%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-09-07 19:10
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-07 19:35
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%4.0%2026-09-07 19:20
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%9.7%2026-09-07 17:40