Language:English
Miami Marlins v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 51.15%1.95fair odd
EV -0.249%
Edge -0.128%
Kelly -0.263%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.31%51.15%53.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.861.851.9556.50%53.77%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 48.85%2.05fair odd
EV +2.58%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +2.34%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.56%48.69%48.85%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.971.962.1052.63%50.88%51.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 51.15%; New York Mets (Visit): 48.85%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +2.58%E +1.23%K +2.34%G +0.060% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.95%E -5.03%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.354%E -0.174%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 15:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.33%E -0.659%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.33%E -0.659%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 21:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 20:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.83%E -2.04%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-08 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 20:03 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.90%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 20:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.78%E -0.929%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.78%E -0.929%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.78%E -0.929%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.78%E -0.929%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.249%E -0.128%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.83%E -2.04%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.77%E -1.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.83%E -2.04%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.77%E -1.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.77%E -1.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.90%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.77%E -1.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.92%E -4.40%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.77%E -1.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.32%E -1.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.26%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.26%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.26%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.92%E -4.40%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.26%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.92%E -4.40%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.26%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.85%E -2.61%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 20:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 21:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.75%E -2.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.24%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.24%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.61%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.88%E -3.19%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.24%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 22:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.88%E -3.19%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -9.46%E -5.34%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.41%E -4.09%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.19%E -3.79%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 22:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 2.2% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |