L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Miami Marlins v New York Mets

2026-09-08 22:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 55.11%1.81cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.756%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%55.08%55.11%55.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.731.731.7960.24%57.72%57.80%55.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.89%2.23cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.565%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%44.92%44.89%46.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.23%47.17%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Miami Marlins (Local) : 55.11% ; New York Mets (Visiteur) : 44.89%. Pour New York Mets (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.23. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.20, pour une espérance de -1.24% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.35%E -0.756%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-07 17:45
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 18:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.14%E -0.982%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.14%E -0.982%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:35
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.14%E -0.982%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 20:00
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.38%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 18:25
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:09
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:55
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:38
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 18:55
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 18:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 19:04
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.18%E -2.96%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 19:54
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:09
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-09-07 19:10
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-07 20:35
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-09-07 20:35
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-09-07 19:55