默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins v New York Mets

2026-09-08 22:41 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins (主队)

预测 55.11%1.81公平赔率
EV -1.35%
优势 -0.756%
Kelly -1.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.79

博彩公司预测分布
53.95%55.08%55.11%55.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.731.731.7960.24%57.72%57.80%55.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Mets (客队)

预测 44.89%2.23公平赔率
EV -1.24%
优势 -0.565%
Kelly -1.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
44.30%44.92%44.89%46.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.23%47.17%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Miami Marlins (主队):55.11%;New York Mets (客队):44.89%。 对于“New York Mets (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.23。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.20,期望值为-1.24%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.35%E -0.756%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-07 17:45
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 18:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.14%E -0.982%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.14%E -0.982%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:35
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.14%E -0.982%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 20:00
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.38%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 18:25
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:09
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:55
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:38
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 18:55
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 18:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 19:04
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.18%E -2.96%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 19:54
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:09
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 19:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-09-07 19:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-07 20:35
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-09-07 20:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-09-07 19:55