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StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)
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Miami Marlins v New York Mets

2026-09-08 22:41 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins (Heim)

Prognose 55.11%1.81faire Quote
EV -1.35%
Vorteil -0.756%
Kelly -1.71%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.79

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.95%55.08%55.11%55.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.661.731.731.7960.24%57.72%57.80%55.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Auswärts)

Prognose 44.89%2.23faire Quote
EV -1.24%
Vorteil -0.565%
Kelly -1.04%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.30%44.92%44.89%46.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.23%47.17%45.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Miami Marlins (Heim): 55.11%; New York Mets (Auswärts): 44.89%. Für New York Mets (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.23. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.20, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.24%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.35%E -0.756%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-07 17:45
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 18:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.14%E -0.982%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.14%E -0.982%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:35
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.14%E -0.982%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 20:00
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.94%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.38%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 18:25
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:09
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 20:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:55
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:38
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 18:55
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 18:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 19:04
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.18%E -2.96%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 19:54
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:09
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 19:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-09-07 19:10
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-07 20:35
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-09-07 20:35
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-09-07 19:55