Language:English
Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 40.02%2.50fair odd
EV +2.04%
Edge +0.800%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.96%40.00%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.292.422.402.5543.67%41.38%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)
Prediction 59.98%1.67fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%60.04%60.00%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.581.581.6568.03%63.39%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 40.02%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 59.98%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 19:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -8.82%E -5.81%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 19:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.16%E -0.470%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -11.82%E -8.04%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.36%E -0.968%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -2.36%E -0.968%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.03%E -0.622%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -2.23%E -1.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:57 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 17:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 19:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.23%E -1.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.36%E -2.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 18:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-12 19:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.36%E -3.65%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |