Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 20:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 40.02%2.50cote équitable
EV +2.04%
Avantage +0.800%
Kelly +1.32%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%39.96%40.00%41.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.292.422.402.5543.67%41.38%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.98%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.622%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.82%60.04%60.00%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.581.581.6568.03%63.39%63.29%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Miami Marlins (Local) : 40.02% ; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur) : 59.98%. Pour Miami Marlins (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.50. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.55, soit une espérance positive de +2.04%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:10
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:10
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:15
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 20:10
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -8.82%E -5.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 19:10
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.16%E -0.470%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-12 20:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:15
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -11.82%E -8.04%K -25.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 20:10
GTbets🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.36%E -0.968%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -2.36%E -0.968%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:15
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.03%E -0.622%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 18:10
BetUS🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -2.23%E -1.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-12 20:05
BetAnything🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 20:05
Bovada🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:57
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:10
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:28
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:30
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:39
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:34
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:20
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:20
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 17:30
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 20:09
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:10
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:45
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 19:40
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.23%E -1.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 17:10
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.36%E -2.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 18:04
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 17:15
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 19:59
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.36%E -3.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 19:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-12 19:50
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-09-12 20:10
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-09-12 20:10
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-12 17:10
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-12 20:10
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-12 20:10
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-09-12 20:10
BetOpenly2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%3.7%2026-09-12 20:05