默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 20:11 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins (主队)

预测 40.02%2.50公平赔率
EV +2.04%
优势 +0.800%
Kelly +1.32%
增长率 +0.027%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.50%39.96%40.00%41.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.292.422.402.5543.67%41.38%41.67%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

Los Angeles Dodgers (客队)

预测 59.98%1.67公平赔率
EV -1.03%
优势 -0.622%
Kelly -1.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
58.82%60.04%60.00%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.581.581.6568.03%63.39%63.29%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Miami Marlins (主队):40.02%;Los Angeles Dodgers (客队):59.98%。 对于“Miami Marlins (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.50。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.55,对应+2.04%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:10
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:10
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:15
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 20:10
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -8.82%E -5.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 19:10
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.16%E -0.470%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-12 20:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:15
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -11.82%E -8.04%K -25.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 20:10
GTbets🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.36%E -0.968%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -2.36%E -0.968%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:15
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.03%E -0.622%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 18:10
BetUS🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -2.23%E -1.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-12 20:05
BetAnything🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 20:05
Bovada🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:57
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:10
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:28
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:30
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:39
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:34
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:20
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:20
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 17:30
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 20:09
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:10
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:45
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 19:40
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.23%E -1.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 17:10
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.36%E -2.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 18:04
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 17:15
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 19:59
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.36%E -3.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 19:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-12 19:50
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-09-12 20:10
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-09-12 20:10
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-12 17:10
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-12 20:10
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-12 20:10
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-09-12 20:10
BetOpenly2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%3.7%2026-09-12 20:05