Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers

Początek: 2026-09-12 20:11 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Miami Marlins (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 40.02%2.50kurs godziwy
EV +2.04%
Przewaga +0.800%
Kelly +1.32%
Wzrost +0.027%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.50%39.96%40.00%41.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.292.422.402.5543.67%41.38%41.67%39.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Goście)

Prognoza 59.98%1.67kurs godziwy
EV -1.03%
Przewaga -0.622%
Kelly -1.58%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.82%60.04%60.00%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.471.581.581.6568.03%63.39%63.29%60.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Miami Marlins (Gospodarze): 40.02%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Goście): 59.98%. Dla wyniku Miami Marlins (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.50. 11 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.55, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.04%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:10
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.04%E +0.800%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:10
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:15
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 20:10
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -8.82%E -5.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 19:10
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.16%E -0.470%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-12 20:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:15
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -11.82%E -8.04%K -25.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 20:10
GTbets🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.36%E -0.968%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -2.36%E -0.968%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.63%E -0.991%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:15
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.03%E -0.622%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 18:10
BetUS🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -2.23%E -1.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-12 20:05
BetAnything🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 20:05
Bovada🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:57
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:10
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:28
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:30
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:39
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:34
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:20
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:20
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 17:30
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 20:09
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:10
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:45
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 19:40
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.23%E -1.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 17:10
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.36%E -2.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 18:04
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 17:15
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 19:59
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.36%E -3.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 19:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-12 19:50
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-09-12 20:10
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-09-12 20:10
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-12 17:10
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-12 20:10
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-12 20:10
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-09-12 20:10
BetOpenly2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%3.7%2026-09-12 20:05