Language:English
Miami Marlins v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 54.38%1.84fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.36%54.26%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8158.82%57.02%57.14%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 45.62%2.19fair odd
EV -0.546%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.463%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.64%45.74%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.73%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 54.38%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 45.62%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -0.546%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.12%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.11%E -2.46%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 22:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 01:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 22:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 20:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 22:27 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.74%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.56%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 0.1% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |