A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-05-06 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 4–7 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 54.38%1.84odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.870%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.25%54.36%54.26%55.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.751.751.8158.82%57.02%57.14%55.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 45.62%2.19odd justa
EV -0.546%
Vantagem -0.250%
Kelly -0.463%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.59%45.64%45.74%46.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.73%47.62%45.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 22:35
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 22:35
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 22:35
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 22:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.12%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 22:35
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 21:55
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 22:15
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.11%E -2.46%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 22:40
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:34
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 22:35
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 21:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 15:05
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 22:35
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 22:34
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 20:45
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 22:30
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 15:05
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:35
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 22:40
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 22:39
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 22:38
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:44
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 22:39
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 20:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 22:27
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 21:50
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:45
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:45
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 22:30
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:05
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:05
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.74%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:53
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 22:40
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 22:40
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 22:40
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 21:40
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.56%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 17:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-05-06 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-06 22:40
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-05-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-06 22:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-06 22:40
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-06 22:40
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-05-06 22:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-05-06 22:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-06 22:40