مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-05-06 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 4–7 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.38%1.84السعر العادل
EV -1.57%
الأفضلية -0.870%
Kelly -1.94%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.25%54.36%54.26%55.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.751.751.8158.82%57.02%57.14%55.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.62%2.19السعر العادل
EV -0.546%
الأفضلية -0.250%
Kelly -0.463%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.59%45.64%45.74%46.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.73%47.62%45.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 22:35
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 22:35
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 22:35
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 22:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.12%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 22:35
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 21:55
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 22:15
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.11%E -2.46%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 22:40
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:34
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 22:35
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 21:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 15:05
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 22:35
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 22:34
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 20:45
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 22:30
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 15:05
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:35
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 22:40
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 22:39
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 22:38
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:44
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:45
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 22:39
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 20:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 22:27
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 21:50
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:45
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:45
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 22:30
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:05
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:05
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.74%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:53
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 22:40
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 22:40
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 22:40
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 21:40
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.56%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 17:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-05-06 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-06 22:40
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-05-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-06 22:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-06 22:40
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-06 22:40
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-05-06 22:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-05-06 22:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-06 22:40