La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Miami Marlins v Baltimore Orioles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 54.38%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.870%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.25%54.36%54.26%55.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.751.751.8158.82%57.02%57.14%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)
Predicción 45.62%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.546%
Ventaja -0.250%
Kelly -0.463%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.59%45.64%45.74%46.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.73%47.62%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Everygame | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.12%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.11%E -2.46%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 22:34 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 21:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 22:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 01:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 15:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 22:38 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 20:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 22:27 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:05 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.74%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:53 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.56%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 0.1% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Novig | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |