语言:简体中文
Miami Marlins v Baltimore Orioles
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Miami Marlins (主队)
预测 54.38%1.84公平赔率
EV -1.57%
优势 -0.870%
Kelly -1.94%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.81
博彩公司预测分布
53.25%54.36%54.26%55.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.751.751.8158.82%57.02%57.14%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
Baltimore Orioles (客队)
预测 45.62%2.19公平赔率
EV -0.546%
优势 -0.250%
Kelly -0.463%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.18
博彩公司预测分布
44.59%45.64%45.74%46.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.73%47.62%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Miami Marlins (主队)：54.38%；Baltimore Orioles (客队)：45.62%。 对于“Baltimore Orioles (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.19。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.18，期望值为-0.546%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.57%E -0.870%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.12%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.11%E -2.46%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 22:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.546%E -0.250%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 01:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 22:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 20:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 22:27 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.891%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.74%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.56%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 0.1% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |