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Los Angeles Dodgers v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)
Prediction 70.54%1.42fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.889%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.85%70.38%70.50%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.371.4075.19%73.28%72.99%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 29.46%3.39fair odd
EV +0.166%
Edge +0.049%
Kelly +0.069%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%29.62%29.50%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.193.153.4032.79%31.37%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 70.54%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 29.46%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.166%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.166%E +0.049%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.01%E -0.301%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.01%E -0.301%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.95%E -1.40%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -1.31%E -0.390%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -3.08%E -0.935%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.96%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 02:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.48%E -4.09%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.24%E -0.889%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.24%E -0.889%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 02:02 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.34% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.66% | 0.2% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 41.84% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 58.16% | 71.9% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |