L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Dodgers v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 02:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 70.54%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.889%
Kelly -3.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.85%70.38%70.50%71.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.361.371.4075.19%73.28%72.99%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.46%3.39cote équitable
EV +0.166%
Avantage +0.049%
Kelly +0.069%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.12%29.62%29.50%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.193.153.4032.79%31.37%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.166%E +0.049%K +0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 02:09
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.01%E -0.301%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 02:10
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.01%E -0.301%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 02:09
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.95%E -1.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -1.31%E -0.390%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-01 02:09
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 02:09
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 02:09
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 02:09
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -3.08%E -0.935%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 02:10
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.96%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 02:09
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 02:09
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:09
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:09
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:09
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:08
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.48%E -4.09%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 02:09
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 02:09
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 02:09
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.24%E -0.889%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.24%E -0.889%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:09
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:09
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:09
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 02:02
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 72.34%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.66%0.2%2026-04-01 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-04-01 02:10
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-04-01 02:10
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-04-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-01 02:10
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-04-01 02:10
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-01 02:10
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-04-01 02:10
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 41.84%1.00I 100.00%NM 58.16%71.9%2026-04-01 02:10