A Escola das Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-04-01 02:12 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Previsão 70.54%1.42odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.889%
Kelly -3.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.85%70.38%70.50%71.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.331.361.371.4075.19%73.28%72.99%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 29.46%3.39odd justa
EV +0.166%
Vantagem +0.049%
Kelly +0.069%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%29.62%29.50%31.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.053.193.153.4032.79%31.37%31.75%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.166%E +0.049%K +0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 02:09
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.01%E -0.301%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 02:10
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.01%E -0.301%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 02:09
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.95%E -1.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -1.31%E -0.390%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-01 02:09
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 02:09
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 02:09
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 02:09
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -3.08%E -0.935%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 02:10
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.96%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 02:09
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 02:09
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:09
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:09
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:09
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:08
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.48%E -4.09%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 02:09
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 02:09
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 02:09
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.24%E -0.889%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.24%E -0.889%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:09
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:09
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:09
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 02:02
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 72.34%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.66%0.2%2026-04-01 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-04-01 02:10
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-04-01 02:10
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-04-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-01 02:10
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-04-01 02:10
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-01 02:10
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-04-01 02:10
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 41.84%1.00I 100.00%NM 58.16%71.9%2026-04-01 02:10